Argentinian Primera Division

Talleres vs Lanus prediction

0 – 3

Full-time

Match summary

Talleres vs Lanus (Argentinian Primera Division), 12/08/2026, finished 0-3: Lanus won. Before the match Jarvis gave Talleres 40%, the draw 34% and Lanus 27%; the actual result had a 27% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-0. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.0.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Talleres

40%

Draw

34%

Lanus

27%

Actual result: Talleres 0 – 3 Lanus · Lanus winJarvis gave this outcome: 27%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Talleres, negative favours Lanus) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Talleres - Lanus)+0.25

Expected total goals1.99

Expected goals Talleres / Lanus1.12 / 0.87

Both teams to score (yes / no)40.9% / 59.1%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 60.9%

Over 2.5 goals 32.1%

Over 3.5 goals 14.2%

First half

First-half result (Talleres / draw / Lanus)28.2% / 51.3% / 20.5%

A goal in the first half58.2%

Two or more in the first half23.6%

Half-time then full-time

Level at half-time then draw23.9%

Talleres lead at half-time then Talleres win23.1%

Level at half-time then Talleres win16.0%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Talleres's side

Talleres −2.011.3%

Talleres −1.7514.2%

Talleres −1.517.1%

Talleres −1.2522.7%

Talleres −1.028.3%

Talleres −0.7533.9%

Talleres −0.539.5%

Talleres −0.2548.0%

Talleres draw no bet (0.0)56.5%

Talleres +0.2564.9%

Talleres +0.573.4%

Talleres +0.7577.7%

Talleres +1.082.0%

Talleres +1.590.5%

Talleres +2.094.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Talleres win2.53

Draw2.95

Lanus win3.76

Over 2.53.11

Under 2.51.47

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Talleres wins by more than 1 goals17%

Lanus wins by more than 1 goals10%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 12/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.