North American Leagues Cup

Tigres vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction

1 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

Tigres vs Vancouver Whitecaps (North American Leagues Cup), 12/08/2026, finished 1-1: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Tigres 70%, the draw 17% and Vancouver Whitecaps 13%; the actual result had a 17% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 3.1.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Tigres
70%
Draw
17%
Vancouver Whitecaps
13%
Actual result: Tigres 1 – 1 Vancouver Whitecaps · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 17%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Tigres, negative favours Vancouver Whitecaps) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Tigres - Vancouver Whitecaps)+1.43
Expected total goals3.07
Expected goals Tigres / Vancouver Whitecaps2.25 / 0.82
Both teams to score (yes / no)49.5% / 50.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 80.6%
Over 2.5 goals 59.2%
Over 3.5 goals 36.8%
First half
First-half result (Tigres / draw / Vancouver Whitecaps)51.8% / 34.4% / 13.7%
A goal in the first half75.3%
Two or more in the first half39.6%
Half-time then full-time
Tigres lead at half-time then Tigres win47.1%
Level at half-time then Tigres win19.5%
Level at half-time then draw10.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Tigres's side
Tigres −2.035.9%
Tigres −1.7541.1%
Tigres −1.546.3%
Tigres −1.2552.3%
Tigres −1.058.3%
Tigres −0.7564.3%
Tigres −0.570.3%
Tigres −0.2574.6%
Tigres draw no bet (0.0)78.9%
Tigres +0.2583.2%
Tigres +0.587.4%
Tigres +0.7589.7%
Tigres +1.091.9%
Tigres +1.596.4%
Tigres +2.097.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Tigres win1.42
Draw5.84
Vancouver Whitecaps win7.96
Over 2.51.69
Under 2.52.45

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Tigres wins by more than 1 goals46%
Vancouver Whitecaps wins by more than 1 goals4%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 12/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.