Italian Serie A

Venezia vs Lecce prediction

0 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Venezia vs Lecce (Serie A), 23/08/2026, finished 0-2: Lecce won. Before the match Jarvis gave Venezia 47%, the draw 31% and Lecce 21%; the actual result had a 21% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Venezia

47%

Draw

31%

Lecce

21%

Actual result: Venezia 0 – 2 Lecce · Lecce winJarvis gave this outcome: 21%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Venezia, negative favours Lecce) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Venezia - Lecce)+0.52

Expected total goals2.23

Expected goals Venezia / Lecce1.38 / 0.85

Both teams to score (yes / no)44.7% / 55.3%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 67.1%

Over 2.5 goals 38.5%

Over 3.5 goals 18.7%

First half

First-half result (Venezia / draw / Lecce)33.7% / 48.4% / 17.9%

A goal in the first half62.1%

Two or more in the first half27.8%

Half-time then full-time

Venezia lead at half-time then Venezia win28.7%

Level at half-time then draw21.2%

Level at half-time then Venezia win18.0%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Venezia's side

Venezia −2.016.3%

Venezia −1.7520.0%

Venezia −1.523.7%

Venezia −1.2529.6%

Venezia −1.035.5%

Venezia −0.7541.4%

Venezia −0.547.3%

Venezia −0.2555.1%

Venezia draw no bet (0.0)62.9%

Venezia +0.2570.7%

Venezia +0.578.5%

Venezia +0.7582.0%

Venezia +1.085.5%

Venezia +1.592.4%

Venezia +2.095.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Venezia win2.12

Draw3.20

Lecce win4.65

Over 2.52.59

Under 2.51.63

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Venezia wins by more than 1 goals24%

Lecce wins by more than 1 goals8%

Corners

Expected total corners9.4

6.5+ corners in the match46%

Cards

Expected total cards3.0

2.5+ cards in the match57%