Elite Friendlies

Villarreal vs Levante prediction

Villarreal

15:00, 05/08

GMT+7

Result not verified

Levante

Match summary

Villarreal vs Levante (Elite Friendlies), 05/08/2026 has been played; a verified score is not on record yet. Before the match Jarvis gave Villarreal 70%, the draw 16% and Levante 15%.

Outcome probability

Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.

Result not verified

Villarreal

70%

Draw

16%

Levante

15%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Villarreal, negative favours Levante) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Villarreal - Levante)+1.47

Expected total goals3.69

Expected goals Villarreal / Levante2.58 / 1.11

Both teams to score (yes / no)61.4% / 38.6%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 87.8%

Over 2.5 goals 71.3%

Over 3.5 goals 50.4%

First half

First-half result (Villarreal / draw / Levante)53.2% / 30.0% / 16.7%

A goal in the first half81.9%

Two or more in the first half48.7%

Half-time then full-time

Villarreal lead at half-time then Villarreal win47.6%

Level at half-time then Villarreal win17.3%

Levante lead at half-time then Levante win8.1%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Villarreal's side

Villarreal −2.038.0%

Villarreal −1.7542.9%

Villarreal −1.547.8%

Villarreal −1.2553.3%

Villarreal −1.058.7%

Villarreal −0.7564.2%

Villarreal −0.569.6%

Villarreal −0.2573.5%

Villarreal draw no bet (0.0)77.4%

Villarreal +0.2581.3%

Villarreal +0.585.2%

Villarreal +0.7587.7%

Villarreal +1.090.1%

Villarreal +1.594.9%

Villarreal +2.096.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Villarreal win1.44

Draw6.40

Levante win6.78

Over 2.51.40

Under 2.53.49

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Villarreal wins by more than 1 goals48%

Levante wins by more than 1 goals5%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Villarreal

vs ElcheSat 17/10, 21:15 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
vs Liverpool (away)Wed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27

Levante

vs Athletic ClubThu 22/10, 01:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
vs Real Sociedad (away)Mon 26/10, 00:30 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27

Other matches on 05/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.