English Premier League

Liverpool vs Nottm Forest prediction

2 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Liverpool vs Nottm Forest (Premier League), 29/08/2026, finished 2-2: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Liverpool 65%, the draw 20% and Nottm Forest 14%; the actual result had a 20% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 3.1.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Liverpool

65%

Draw

20%

Nottm Forest

14%

Actual result: Liverpool 2 – 2 Nottm Forest · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 20%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Liverpool, negative favours Nottm Forest) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Liverpool - Nottm Forest)+1.25

Expected total goals3.10

Expected goals Liverpool / Nottm Forest2.18 / 0.92

Both teams to score (yes / no)53.9% / 46.1%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 82.0%

Over 2.5 goals 59.9%

Over 3.5 goals 37.5%

First half

First-half result (Liverpool / draw / Nottm Forest)48.1% / 37.0% / 14.8%

A goal in the first half74.7%

Two or more in the first half41.2%

Half-time then full-time

Liverpool lead at half-time then Liverpool win43.3%

Level at half-time then Liverpool win19.5%

Level at half-time then draw11.9%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Liverpool's side

Liverpool −2.032.4%

Liverpool −1.7537.4%

Liverpool −1.542.4%

Liverpool −1.2548.1%

Liverpool −1.053.9%

Liverpool −0.7559.7%

Liverpool −0.565.4%

Liverpool −0.2570.5%

Liverpool draw no bet (0.0)75.6%

Liverpool +0.2580.6%

Liverpool +0.585.7%

Liverpool +0.7588.1%

Liverpool +1.090.5%

Liverpool +1.595.2%

Liverpool +2.097.0%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Liverpool win1.53

Draw4.94

Nottm Forest win6.99

Over 2.51.67

Under 2.52.49

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Liverpool wins by more than 1 goals42%

Nottm Forest wins by more than 1 goals5%

Corners

Expected total corners10.2

6.5+ corners in the match56%

Cards

Expected total cards3.2

2.5+ cards in the match39%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Liverpool

vs VillarrealWed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
vs Brighton & Hove AlbionSun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Nottm Forest

vs ArsenalSun 18/10, 22:30 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 14% / 25% / 62%
vs Ipswich Town (away)Sat 24/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Other matches on 29/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Premier League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	7	+12	21
2	Arsenal	6	+5	15
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	6	+13	13
4	Chelsea	7	+4	13
5	Liverpool	7	+1	12
6	Brentford	7	+5	10
...
16	Fulham	7	-3	5
17	Nottingham Forest	6	-3	5
18	Sunderland	6	-6	4

See the full Premier League table