English Premier League

Bournemouth vs Everton prediction

1 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Bournemouth vs Everton (Premier League), 29/08/2026, finished 1-1: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Bournemouth 46%, the draw 28% and Everton 26%; the actual result had a 28% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.6.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Bournemouth

46%

Draw

28%

Everton

26%

Actual result: Bournemouth 1 – 1 Everton · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 28%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Bournemouth, negative favours Everton) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Bournemouth - Everton)+0.42

Expected total goals2.63

Expected goals Bournemouth / Everton1.53 / 1.11

Both teams to score (yes / no)53.6% / 46.4%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 75.1%

Over 2.5 goals 49.0%

Over 3.5 goals 27.1%

First half

First-half result (Bournemouth / draw / Everton)34.0% / 44.0% / 22.0%

A goal in the first half68.4%

Two or more in the first half34.2%

Half-time then full-time

Bournemouth lead at half-time then Bournemouth win27.9%

Level at half-time then draw17.4%

Level at half-time then Bournemouth win16.3%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Bournemouth's side

Bournemouth −2.016.6%

Bournemouth −1.7520.2%

Bournemouth −1.523.8%

Bournemouth −1.2529.3%

Bournemouth −1.034.8%

Bournemouth −0.7540.3%

Bournemouth −0.545.8%

Bournemouth −0.2552.8%

Bournemouth draw no bet (0.0)59.8%

Bournemouth +0.2566.7%

Bournemouth +0.573.7%

Bournemouth +0.7577.6%

Bournemouth +1.081.5%

Bournemouth +1.589.3%

Bournemouth +2.093.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Bournemouth win2.18

Draw3.59

Everton win3.80

Over 2.52.04

Under 2.51.96

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Bournemouth wins by more than 1 goals24%

Everton wins by more than 1 goals11%

Corners

Expected total corners10.4

6.5+ corners in the match47%

Cards

Expected total cards3.6

2.5+ cards in the match48%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Bournemouth

vs SunderlandSun 18/10, 20:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 44% / 30% / 26%
vs AC MilanFri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Everton

vs Arsenal (away)Sat 24/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
vs Newcastle United (away)Tue 03/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Other matches on 29/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Premier League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	6	+11	18
2	Arsenal	6	+5	15
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	6	+13	13
...
5	Brentford	6	+6	10
6	Everton	7	+1	10
7	Leeds United	6	+3	9
...
17	Sunderland	6	-6	4
18	AFC Bournemouth	6	-6	3
19	Tottenham Hotspur	6	-6	3

See the full Premier League table