UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

Brighton vs Tromso prediction

4 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

Brighton vs Tromso (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 28/08/2026, finished 4-0: Brighton won. Before the match Jarvis gave Brighton 83%, the draw 11% and Tromso 5%; the actual result had a 83% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 3-0. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 3.3.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Brighton
83%
Draw
11%
Tromso
5%
Actual result: Brighton 4 – 0 Tromso · Brighton winJarvis gave this outcome: 83% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Brighton, negative favours Tromso) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Brighton - Tromso)+2.19
Expected total goals3.29
Expected goals Brighton / Tromso2.74 / 0.55
Both teams to score (yes / no)39.3% / 60.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 83.7%
Over 2.5 goals 63.8%
Over 3.5 goals 41.7%
First half
First-half result (Brighton / draw / Tromso)62.7% / 29.5% / 7.7%
A goal in the first half77.6%
Two or more in the first half43.1%
Half-time then full-time
Brighton lead at half-time then Brighton win60.0%
Level at half-time then Brighton win20.2%
Level at half-time then draw7.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Brighton's side
Brighton −2.051.7%
Brighton −1.7557.3%
Brighton −1.562.9%
Brighton −1.2568.0%
Brighton −1.073.1%
Brighton −0.7578.2%
Brighton −0.583.3%
Brighton −0.2586.1%
Brighton draw no bet (0.0)88.9%
Brighton +0.2591.8%
Brighton +0.594.6%
Brighton +0.7595.7%
Brighton +1.096.8%
Brighton +1.598.9%
Brighton +2.099.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Brighton win1.20
Draw8.88
Tromso win18.45
Over 2.51.57
Under 2.52.76

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Brighton wins by more than 1 goals63%
Tromso wins by more than 1 goals1%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Other matches on 28/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.