Match summary
Brighton vs Tromso (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 28/08/2026, finished 4-0: Brighton won. Before the match Jarvis gave Brighton 83%, the draw 11% and Tromso 5%; the actual result had a 83% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 3-0. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 3.3.
Outcome probability


Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Probability trajectory · full match
Next fixtures of both teams
- vs Crystal PalaceSun 18/10, 20:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 65% / 21% / 15%
- vs Liverpool (away)Sun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
Other matches on 28/08 (GMT+7)
- Celta Vigo vs Osasuna01:30 · La Liga1–2
- Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao02:00 · La Liga2–0
- Thun vs Lech Poznan01:00 · Europa League2–2
- AGF vs Benfica01:00 · Europa League1–3
- CSKA Sofia vs OFI01:00 · Europa League0–2
- Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor01:30 · Europa League4–0
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.














