North American Leagues Cup

Columbus vs Pumas UNAM prediction

1 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Columbus vs Pumas UNAM (North American Leagues Cup), 12/08/2026, finished 1-1: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Columbus 54%, the draw 24% and Pumas UNAM 22%; the actual result had a 24% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 3.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Columbus

54%

Draw

24%

Pumas UNAM

22%

Actual result: Columbus 1 – 1 Pumas UNAM · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 24%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Columbus, negative favours Pumas UNAM) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Columbus - Pumas UNAM)+0.78

Expected total goals3.17

Expected goals Columbus / Pumas UNAM1.98 / 1.19

Both teams to score (yes / no)61.1% / 38.9%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 83.5%

Over 2.5 goals 61.3%

Over 3.5 goals 39.0%

First half

First-half result (Columbus / draw / Pumas UNAM)40.7% / 39.4% / 19.9%

A goal in the first half74.7%

Two or more in the first half42.9%

Half-time then full-time

Columbus lead at half-time then Columbus win34.7%

Level at half-time then Columbus win17.4%

Level at half-time then draw13.8%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Columbus's side

Columbus −2.024.3%

Columbus −1.7528.5%

Columbus −1.532.7%

Columbus −1.2538.2%

Columbus −1.043.6%

Columbus −0.7549.0%

Columbus −0.554.5%

Columbus −0.2560.4%

Columbus draw no bet (0.0)66.4%

Columbus +0.2572.4%

Columbus +0.578.3%

Columbus +0.7581.5%

Columbus +1.084.7%

Columbus +1.591.0%

Columbus +2.094.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Columbus win1.84

Draw4.19

Pumas UNAM win4.61

Over 2.51.63

Under 2.52.59

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Columbus wins by more than 1 goals33%

Pumas UNAM wins by more than 1 goals9%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 12/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.