Turkish Super League

Erzurum BB vs Galatasaray prediction

0 – 4

Full-time

Match summary

Erzurum BB vs Galatasaray (Turkish Super League), 22/08/2026, finished 0-4: Galatasaray won. Before the match Jarvis gave Erzurum BB 14%, the draw 22% and Galatasaray 64%; the actual result had a 64% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-2. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 2.9.

Next for Galatasaray: Lille (Wed 21/10, 23:45 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Erzurum BB

14%

Draw

22%

Galatasaray

64%

Actual result: Erzurum BB 0 – 4 Galatasaray · Galatasaray winJarvis gave this outcome: 64% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Erzurum BB, negative favours Galatasaray) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Erzurum BB - Galatasaray)-1.17

Expected total goals2.91

Expected goals Erzurum BB / Galatasaray0.87 / 2.04

Both teams to score (yes / no)51.5% / 48.5%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 79.7%

Over 2.5 goals 55.5%

Over 3.5 goals 33.2%

First half

First-half result (Erzurum BB / draw / Galatasaray)14.2% / 39.7% / 46.1%

A goal in the first half71.9%

Two or more in the first half38.6%

Half-time then full-time

Galatasaray lead at half-time then Galatasaray win41.5%

Level at half-time then Galatasaray win20.1%

Level at half-time then draw13.8%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Erzurum BB's side

Erzurum BB −2.02.9%

Erzurum BB −1.753.8%

Erzurum BB −1.54.7%

Erzurum BB −1.257.1%

Erzurum BB −1.09.4%

Erzurum BB −0.7511.7%

Erzurum BB −0.514.1%

Erzurum BB −0.2519.7%

Erzurum BB draw no bet (0.0)25.3%

Erzurum BB +0.2530.9%

Erzurum BB +0.536.5%

Erzurum BB +0.7542.3%

Erzurum BB +1.048.2%

Erzurum BB +1.559.9%

Erzurum BB +2.069.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Erzurum BB win7.10

Draw4.46

Galatasaray win1.57

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.25

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Erzurum BB wins by more than 1 goals5%

Galatasaray wins by more than 1 goals40%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Galatasaray

vs Lille (away)Wed 21/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
vs VfB StuttgartWed 04/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27

Other matches on 22/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.