North American Leagues Cup

FC Cincinnati vs Atlas prediction

1 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

FC Cincinnati vs Atlas (North American Leagues Cup), 12/08/2026, finished 1-2: Atlas won. Before the match Jarvis gave FC Cincinnati 68%, the draw 19% and Atlas 13%; the actual result had a 13% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 3.3.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

FC Cincinnati

68%

Draw

19%

Atlas

13%

Actual result: FC Cincinnati 1 – 2 Atlas · Atlas winJarvis gave this outcome: 13%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours FC Cincinnati, negative favours Atlas) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (FC Cincinnati - Atlas)+1.39

Expected total goals3.32

Expected goals FC Cincinnati / Atlas2.36 / 0.96

Both teams to score (yes / no)56.3% / 43.7%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 84.7%

Over 2.5 goals 64.4%

Over 3.5 goals 42.4%

First half

First-half result (FC Cincinnati / draw / Atlas)50.6% / 34.9% / 14.5%

A goal in the first half77.1%

Two or more in the first half44.5%

Half-time then full-time

FC Cincinnati lead at half-time then FC Cincinnati win45.7%

Level at half-time then FC Cincinnati win19.3%

Level at half-time then draw10.5%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from FC Cincinnati's side

FC Cincinnati −2.035.7%

FC Cincinnati −1.7540.7%

FC Cincinnati −1.545.8%

FC Cincinnati −1.2551.3%

FC Cincinnati −1.056.9%

FC Cincinnati −0.7562.5%

FC Cincinnati −0.568.0%

FC Cincinnati −0.2572.7%

FC Cincinnati draw no bet (0.0)77.3%

FC Cincinnati +0.2582.0%

FC Cincinnati +0.586.6%

FC Cincinnati +0.7588.8%

FC Cincinnati +1.091.0%

FC Cincinnati +1.595.5%

FC Cincinnati +2.097.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

FC Cincinnati win1.47

Draw5.39

Atlas win7.46

Over 2.51.55

Under 2.52.81

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

FC Cincinnati wins by more than 1 goals46%

Atlas wins by more than 1 goals5%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 12/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.