Turkish Super League

Genclerbirligi vs Erzurum BB prediction

1 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Genclerbirligi vs Erzurum BB (Turkish Super League), 29/08/2026, finished 1-1: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Genclerbirligi 45%, the draw 33% and Erzurum BB 23%; the actual result had a 33% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-0. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.1.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Genclerbirligi

45%

Draw

33%

Erzurum BB

23%

Actual result: Genclerbirligi 1 – 1 Erzurum BB · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 33%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Genclerbirligi, negative favours Erzurum BB) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Genclerbirligi - Erzurum BB)+0.44

Expected total goals2.10

Expected goals Genclerbirligi / Erzurum BB1.27 / 0.83

Both teams to score (yes / no)42.4% / 57.6%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 63.9%

Over 2.5 goals 35.1%

Over 3.5 goals 16.2%

First half

First-half result (Genclerbirligi / draw / Erzurum BB)31.8% / 49.9% / 18.4%

A goal in the first half60.1%

Two or more in the first half25.6%

Half-time then full-time

Genclerbirligi lead at half-time then Genclerbirligi win26.8%

Level at half-time then draw22.5%

Level at half-time then Genclerbirligi win17.5%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Genclerbirligi's side

Genclerbirligi −2.014.4%

Genclerbirligi −1.7517.9%

Genclerbirligi −1.521.3%

Genclerbirligi −1.2527.2%

Genclerbirligi −1.033.1%

Genclerbirligi −0.7539.0%

Genclerbirligi −0.544.8%

Genclerbirligi −0.2553.0%

Genclerbirligi draw no bet (0.0)61.1%

Genclerbirligi +0.2569.2%

Genclerbirligi +0.577.4%

Genclerbirligi +0.7581.1%

Genclerbirligi +1.084.8%

Genclerbirligi +1.592.2%

Genclerbirligi +2.095.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Genclerbirligi win2.23

Draw3.08

Erzurum BB win4.42

Over 2.52.85

Under 2.51.54

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Genclerbirligi wins by more than 1 goals21%

Erzurum BB wins by more than 1 goals8%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 29/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.