English Premier League

Man Utd vs Ipswich prediction

5 – 2
Full-time

Match summary

Man Utd vs Ipswich (Premier League), 30/08/2026, finished 5-2: Man Utd won. Before the match Jarvis gave Man Utd 70%, the draw 19% and Ipswich 11%; the actual result had a 70% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 7 goals; Jarvis expected 3.1.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Man Utd
70%
Draw
19%
Ipswich
11%
Actual result: Man Utd 5 – 2 Ipswich · Man Utd winJarvis gave this outcome: 70% ✓
Probability trajectory · full match
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Man Utd, negative favours Ipswich) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Tap a row to see how that market has moved.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Man Utd win1.43
Draw5.30
Ipswich win8.79
Over 2.51.68
Under 2.52.47

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Man Utd's side

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin
First half
First-half result (Man Utd / draw / Ipswich)51.1% / 36.3% / 12.5%
A goal in the first half74.5%
Two or more in the first half41.0%
Half-time then full-time
Man Utd lead at half-time then Man Utd win46.9%
Level at half-time then Man Utd win20.3%
Level at half-time then draw11.4%
Corners
Expected total corners9.8
6.5+ corners in the match52%
Cards
Expected total cards3.2
2.5+ cards in the match40%

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Nottingham ForestSat 24/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
  • vs Hull City (away)Sat 31/10, 22:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Other matches on 30/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Premier League table, latest

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