UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

Sion vs BATE Borisov prediction

Sion
4 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

Sion vs BATE Borisov (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 31/07/2026, finished 4-0: Sion won. Before the match Jarvis gave Sion 87%, the draw 8% and BATE Borisov 5%; the actual result had a 87% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 3-0. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 3.4.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Sion
87%
Draw
8%
BATE Borisov
5%
Actual result: Sion 4 – 0 BATE Borisov · Sion winJarvis gave this outcome: 87% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Sion, negative favours BATE Borisov) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Sion - BATE Borisov)+2.46
Expected total goals3.43
Expected goals Sion / BATE Borisov2.94 / 0.48
Both teams to score (yes / no)35.5% / 64.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 84.7%
Over 2.5 goals 66.6%
Over 3.5 goals 44.8%
First half
First-half result (Sion / draw / BATE Borisov)67.2% / 25.7% / 7.1%
A goal in the first half79.8%
Two or more in the first half44.5%
Half-time then full-time
Sion lead at half-time then Sion win64.7%
Level at half-time then Sion win18.8%
Level at half-time then draw5.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Sion's side
Sion −2.057.3%
Sion −1.7562.8%
Sion −1.568.3%
Sion −1.2573.1%
Sion −1.077.9%
Sion −0.7582.6%
Sion −0.587.4%
Sion −0.2589.4%
Sion draw no bet (0.0)91.4%
Sion +0.2593.4%
Sion +0.595.4%
Sion +0.7596.4%
Sion +1.097.4%
Sion +1.599.3%
Sion +2.099.6%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Sion win1.14
Draw12.44
BATE Borisov win21.90
Over 2.51.50
Under 2.52.99

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Sion wins by more than 1 goals68%
BATE Borisov wins by more than 1 goals1%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 31/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.