Portuguese U23

Sporting Lisbon U23 vs Uniao de Leiria U23 prediction

00:00, 12/08

GMT+7

Result not verified

Match summary

Sporting Lisbon U23 vs Uniao de Leiria U23 (Portuguese U23), 12/08/2026 has been played; a verified score is not on record yet.

Outcome probability

Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.

Result not verified

Sporting Lisbon U23

34%

Draw

28%

Uniao de Leiria U23

39%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Sporting Lisbon U23, negative favours Uniao de Leiria U23) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Sporting Lisbon U23 - Uniao de Leiria U23)-0.10

Expected total goals2.63

Expected goals Sporting Lisbon U23 / Uniao de Leiria U231.27 / 1.37

Both teams to score (yes / no)54.2% / 45.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 74.6%

Over 2.5 goals 49.0%

Over 3.5 goals 27.1%

First half

First-half result (Sporting Lisbon U23 / draw / Uniao de Leiria U23)26.8% / 43.4% / 29.8%

A goal in the first half68.8%

Two or more in the first half33.8%

Half-time then full-time

Uniao de Leiria U23 lead at half-time then Uniao de Leiria U23 win22.9%

Sporting Lisbon U23 lead at half-time then Sporting Lisbon U23 win19.7%

Level at half-time then draw16.9%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Sporting Lisbon U23's side

Sporting Lisbon U23 −2.010.0%

Sporting Lisbon U23 −1.7512.5%

Sporting Lisbon U23 −1.514.9%

Sporting Lisbon U23 −1.2519.7%

Sporting Lisbon U23 −1.024.4%

Sporting Lisbon U23 −0.7529.1%

Sporting Lisbon U23 −0.533.8%

Sporting Lisbon U23 −0.2540.7%

Sporting Lisbon U23 draw no bet (0.0)47.6%

Sporting Lisbon U23 +0.2554.5%

Sporting Lisbon U23 +0.561.4%

Sporting Lisbon U23 +0.7566.5%

Sporting Lisbon U23 +1.071.6%

Sporting Lisbon U23 +1.581.9%

Sporting Lisbon U23 +2.087.6%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Sporting Lisbon U23 win2.95

Draw3.63

Uniao de Leiria U23 win2.59

Over 2.52.04

Under 2.51.96

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Sporting Lisbon U23 wins by more than 1 goals15%

Uniao de Leiria U23 wins by more than 1 goals18%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 12/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.