North American Leagues Cup

Tigres vs Real Salt Lake prediction

1 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Tigres vs Real Salt Lake (North American Leagues Cup), 05/08/2026, finished 1-1: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Tigres 41%, the draw 27% and Real Salt Lake 32%; the actual result had a 27% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 3.0.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Tigres

41%

Draw

27%

Real Salt Lake

32%

Actual result: Tigres 1 – 1 Real Salt Lake · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 27%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Tigres, negative favours Real Salt Lake) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Tigres - Real Salt Lake)+0.22

Expected total goals2.96

Expected goals Tigres / Real Salt Lake1.59 / 1.37

Both teams to score (yes / no)60.7% / 39.3%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 80.8%

Over 2.5 goals 56.7%

Over 3.5 goals 34.3%

First half

First-half result (Tigres / draw / Real Salt Lake)31.9% / 42.1% / 25.9%

A goal in the first half72.2%

Two or more in the first half39.8%

Half-time then full-time

Tigres lead at half-time then Tigres win25.1%

Real Salt Lake lead at half-time then Real Salt Lake win18.7%

Level at half-time then draw16.0%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Tigres's side

Tigres −2.015.1%

Tigres −1.7518.3%

Tigres −1.521.5%

Tigres −1.2526.5%

Tigres −1.031.4%

Tigres −0.7536.4%

Tigres −0.541.3%

Tigres −0.2548.1%

Tigres draw no bet (0.0)54.8%

Tigres +0.2561.6%

Tigres +0.568.3%

Tigres +0.7572.6%

Tigres +1.076.8%

Tigres +1.585.2%

Tigres +2.090.0%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Tigres win2.42

Draw3.70

Real Salt Lake win3.16

Over 2.51.76

Under 2.52.31

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Tigres wins by more than 1 goals22%

Real Salt Lake wins by more than 1 goals15%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 05/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.