English Premier League

Tottenham vs Newcastle prediction

0 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Tottenham vs Newcastle (Premier League), 29/08/2026, finished 0-2: Newcastle won. Before the match Jarvis gave Tottenham 43%, the draw 27% and Newcastle 30%; the actual result had a 30% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.9.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Tottenham

43%

Draw

27%

Newcastle

30%

Actual result: Tottenham 0 – 2 Newcastle · Newcastle winJarvis gave this outcome: 30%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Tottenham, negative favours Newcastle) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Tottenham - Newcastle)+0.29

Expected total goals2.86

Expected goals Tottenham / Newcastle1.57 / 1.28

Both teams to score (yes / no)58.2% / 41.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 78.8%

Over 2.5 goals 54.4%

Over 3.5 goals 32.0%

First half

First-half result (Tottenham / draw / Newcastle)33.1% / 42.1% / 24.9%

A goal in the first half71.4%

Two or more in the first half37.7%

Half-time then full-time

Tottenham lead at half-time then Tottenham win26.3%

Newcastle lead at half-time then Newcastle win17.6%

Level at half-time then draw15.9%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Tottenham's side

Tottenham −2.015.7%

Tottenham −1.7519.1%

Tottenham −1.522.4%

Tottenham −1.2527.6%

Tottenham −1.032.8%

Tottenham −0.7538.0%

Tottenham −0.543.3%

Tottenham −0.2549.9%

Tottenham draw no bet (0.0)56.6%

Tottenham +0.2563.2%

Tottenham +0.569.9%

Tottenham +0.7574.1%

Tottenham +1.078.3%

Tottenham +1.586.7%

Tottenham +2.091.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Tottenham win2.31

Draw3.75

Newcastle win3.32

Over 2.51.84

Under 2.52.19

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Tottenham wins by more than 1 goals22%

Newcastle wins by more than 1 goals13%

Corners

Expected total corners10.7

6.5+ corners in the match50%

Cards

Expected total cards3.7

2.5+ cards in the match52%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Tottenham

vs Coventry CityTue 20/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 65% / 21% / 14%
vs Chelsea (away)Sat 24/10, 23:30 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Newcastle

vs Aston VillaSat 17/10, 23:30 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 41% / 27% / 31%
vs Crystal Palace (away)Sun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Other matches on 29/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Premier League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	6	+11	18
2	Arsenal	6	+5	15
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	6	+13	13
...
10	Ipswich Town	6	-3	9
11	Newcastle United	6	-3	8
12	Crystal Palace	6	-3	7
...
18	AFC Bournemouth	6	-6	3
19	Tottenham Hotspur	6	-6	3
20	Fulham	6	-4	2

See the full Premier League table